Board Thread:Anime/@comment-5774380-20190630165114/@comment-5774380-20190704105916

Turi123456 wrote:

why so many people sure the Manga is going to end until February 2020? it true that the Manga approaching her end but the Anime returns only in fall 2020 so theoretically the Manga can end even in October 2020 at the same time as the Anime came to air.

The anime has nothing to do with the calculation, it's a matter of the length of the arc. I had mentioned that arcs usually span 16-20 chapters, and the current arc started in Chapter 107 released in July 2018. 16 months after July 2018 is October 2019, 20 months is February 2020. These are dates we had been theorizing for a long time, and the release date of the final season only seemed to confirm it.

Of course it could end at any point after that but it'd be an unusually long arc. Also, if the final arc has too many chapters, it wouldn't fit in 10-12 episodes unless it suffers from massive cuts.

And given the point the story is in at the moment, I can perfectly believe that it could end in 8 chapters; even 12 chapters, but there's definitely not enough story left to fill other 16 chapters or more unless Isayama unnecessarily drags the story out.